Congress and the UPA government are in precarious state as they head for vote of confidence in the parliament. UPA may narrowly scrape through the vote of confidence.

The supporters of current UPA government (and the nuclear deal) are as follows:      

Congress          153

Samajwadi Party          39

Rashtriya Janata Dal     24

Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam    16

Nationalist Congress Party        11

Pattali Makkal Katchi   6

Lok Janshakti Party      4

Marumalarchi Dravida  2

Munnetra Kazhagam    

Indian Union Muslim League     1

Republican Party of India          1

This brings to total of the supporters to a number 257 which is short of the 272 number that congress needs.

The independents have become the deciding factor on whether or not the UPA government will stay in power. A few parties and independent candidates have indicated that they are going to support the government in exchange of a ministry (like former coal minister Sibu Soren).

There are a total of 19 members in the parliament who can make or break the government.

Independents    6

Jharkhand Mukti Morcha          5

Janata Dal-Secular        2

All India Majlis-e-Ittehadul Muslimeen 1

Bharatiya Navshakti Party         1

People's Democratic Party        1

Mizo National Front     1

National Loktantrik Party          1

Sikkim Democratic Front          1

Out of the six independents three have already indicated that they might support UPA. However the final situation will be unveiled on July 22nd when the floor goes on confidence of vote

(This news item is an analysis based on existing facts)